Thanks, Sal and Sharan! I was feeing rushed and couldn't decide in the store. The dressing rooms were crazy even early-ish on a Saturday AM and I didn't want to dilly dally when there were people waiting for a room.
@Sharan: Love the print of the skirt and 100% cotton. The waistband is smocked and I had it folder over entirely otherwise it was to the floor. Easy alteration but overall thought it was just too much fabric for me.
My hesitation on the rain jacket was the sleeve length. It has a button to cinch at the wrist so I didn't think alteration would work but I could cuff. Lightweight enough for CA or AZ, I think, and it's packable. I like the brown the best. Olive was second but I didn't see it in store so couldn't compare.
My hesitation on the puffer is the hood--although my hair is shorter so it probably wouldn't get in the way. Fit was good. I think if I went up to a medium, the sleeves would be too long. The puffer it would replace was something I could layer over so this would function differently--so I was kind of debating about that too.
I'm the queen of indecisive lately--when it comes to fashion. I feel like I'm still trying to find my mojo.