Thank you everyone for your opinions!
Now, for the details. Jacket #1 is from Zara. Jacket #2, Madewell. I liked the slouchy, soft leather of the Madewell jacket (which was double the price of the Zara jacket). It was slightly crinkly like a Muubaa jacket but not fitted. But not oversized either. The sleeves fit perfectly. I liked the length of the Medium better but the shoulders were too wide on me. The double breasted button style was tedious. I returned it, to the dismay of the Madewell store manager.
Thanks also for the votes on the cardi. I know cardis are not everyone's cup of tea, but I like them for my casual capsule, I like to be as comfortable as loungewear.